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97% Consensus? NO! Global Warming Math Myths & Social Proofs

To gain public acceptance for carbon taxes and renewable energy subsidies, several studies claim a 97% scientific consensus on global warming. This Friends of Science report reveals that it is only a mathematical manipulation and psychological ploy. Our deconstruction shows that there is no 97% consensus on human-caused global warming as claimed in these studies. None of these studies indicate any agreement with a catastrophic view of human-caused global warming. The 16-year pause in global warming has led to demands for the IPCC to be overhauled.

A Veneer of Certainty Stoking Climate Alarm

In Private, Climate Scientists Are Much Less Certain than They Tell the Public. This article by Rupert Darwall, forward by Judith Curry, explores the expressions of public certainty by climate scientists versus the private expressions of uncertainty, in context of a small Workshop on Climate organized by the American Physical Society (APS). It provides a cogent argument for a red/blue team assessment of climate change. The manufacture and enforcement of a “consensus�? on human-caused climate change is a fundamentally anti-scientific process when debate, disagreement, and uncertainty are suppressed.

Convulsive Flurry: Conspiracy, Consensus, Motivation: A Corollary to Lewandowsky et al (2015)

Conspiratorial ideation implicated in rejecting scientific propositions has been well-documented by Lewandowsky et al. (2012, 2013, 2014, 2015). As a corollary, this paper is a qualitative, observational review of the word themes in a ‘convulsive flurry’ of some 215 anonymized mails about climate science billboards that featured scientific statements. The results reveal conspiratorial ideation and cult-like rejection of new scientific information by supporters of the hypothesis of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW). Some 24% of word themes express conspiratorial views, 19% dismiss the statements outright as lies or misinformation, while 17% express aggression and dogmatic opposition to relevant climate science information. Unanticipated changes in climate or climate science theory may challenge the public and policymakers.

One-Third of AMS Members Don’t Agree with Climate Change Orthodoxy

A George Mason University survey of 4,092 members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) on climate change attitudes in the meteorological community shows that only 67% believe climate change is mostly or entirely caused by humans. Fully 33% either believe climate change is not occurring, is mostly natural, or is at most half-natural and half-man-made. Fully 37% of those surveyed consider themselves “expert�? in climate science.

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming: NIPCC Report on Scientific Consensus

This report by the Non-intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) shows that there is no consensus about the effects of fossil fuel use and discusses why scientists disagree about global warming. Articles and surveys most commonly cited as showing a “scientific consensus�? in favor of the CAGW hypothesis are without exception methodologically flawed and often deliberately misleading. This report features a report by the Friends of Science. Climate scientists disagree because of fundamental uncertainties arise from insufficient observational evidence, disagreements over how to interpret data, and how to set the parameters of models.